NFL WEEK 16 PICKS
Things are getting trickier to pick. Early on in any season it’s brawn and just plain old wanting to win that fuels the competitiveness. Yes, everything counts towards a playoff spot but right about now things get complicated because getting there can sit in the balance with who loses to whom as important as who wins against who. This week there are only 3 games that don’t have playoff implications: Browns & Jets, Titans & Jaguars, and the Buccaneers & Rams. You can find the ins & outs on line but you have to be a mathematician to figure that shit out… which I’m not, having dropped math in Grade 9 … cause you could in those days 🙂
My selfish fears this week are that the power will go out at 1pm with this southern Ontario ice storm … thank you Texas, or that the only games available for viewing will be a combo of the 3 games that really don’t matter.
Last week: 9 and 7
Year totals: 130 and 94
Miami Dolphins over Buffalo Bills
Beyond my oft-expressed hatred of Buffalo, statistically these two are well matched. Miami might have to have their skates on to play in this weather and sitting in that open venue in Buffalo today won’t be an easy thing but Miami has beaten stiffer competition both on and off the road.
Carolina over New Orleans Saints
Carolina has not lost at home since Week 1 and the New Orleans road game has room for improvement. They’re as much as tied for the NFC South and this is Newton’s chance to really show us what he’s got … or to go home with a towel on his head. Who would choose to do that?
Dallas Cowboys over Washington
The disruptive drama that is the Redskins continues. Dallas needs this game and they’ll be coming to Washington to get it. The home team here left the building some time ago and despite their renewed efforts with Cousins, it’s still a case of too little too late.
St. Louis over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis sits at the bottom of the NFC West and Tampa’s not sitting much better over in the NFC South, which is why this game is one of the no one cares games. St. Louis runs very hot and cold but one really does have to give them the home team advantage.
New York Jets over Cleveland Browns
(Another change the channel game) Cleveland is very capable of losing by mere points and at the same time have scored 100 more points than the Jets for the season. Defensively they’re pretty close. I’m taking the Jets because they’re very capable of pulling an unlikely upset out of their pockets. They’re minimally favored at home and because that’s all this game has to offer … I’ll take it.
Kansas City over Indianapolis
Based on the Kansas D, I’m going with them. Do think though that it’ll be a hard fought game … Indy’s not going to lay down and take it.
Cincinnati Bengals over Minnesota
I like Cincie and I like them more at home. Peterson is reported to being playing for the Vikings but it’s their D that’s the problem, and they’re not, or haven’t been, 2 in a row winners. Cincie is finishing the season with 2 home games and the home crowd should carry them the distance they need to go.
Denver Broncos over Houston Texans
Denver does throw a shoe on occasion and ends up on the wrong end of an upset … but to Houston for cripes sake?
Jacksonville over Tennessee
Not a question of who’s better, but one of who’s worse. This is the kind of game that will fuck up your pick card. Taking Jax @ home just because I have to pick someone to win.
Seattle Seahawks over Arizona
The noise machine that is Seattle at home should kick into gear … I think I can hear them now … from here. This is the first of Seattle’s season ending home game schedule and Arizona might want to this game but they’re not going to get it.
Detroit Lions over the New York Giants
Stafford has just been declared the most undisciplined QB in the league… and the Lions as out of control as a whole for their often own play ending penalties and questionable coaching plays. Oh, the Motor City, every one’s a critic. But it’s The Giants for Christmas sake.
San Diego Chargers over Oakland Raiders
These 2 are at the bottom and the bottom bottom of the AFC West. San Diego should still be up over their surprise win (I was surprised) in Denver last week.
Green Bay Packers over Pittsburgh Steelers
The answer to will he or won’t he play is that he won’t. Still taking Green Bay @ home.
Baltimore over New England
New England has been struggling of late and they struggle more on the road. Their wins in December have been by points against both Houston and Cleveland, which are not powerhouse teams to begin with. Gronkowski is missed, no doubt about that. Baltimore does the same thing points wise the key here is that they score less but they stop more.
Philly over Chicago
Philly wants and needs this and Chicago wants and needs this. Chicago can win, and has won on the road but they are more inclined to lose traveling. Philly is favored here by the standard 3-point home advantage gift … and sometimes that’s all you need to get it done. Hopefully that’s what they’ll do.
San Francisco 49rs over Atlanta
Will San Francisco lose = no. Will they win by 12 = no. I’m just putting that out there.
Tight Pants and Leather Balls